NewsGeoffrey Hinton warns: AI poses 10–20% risk to humanity

Geoffrey Hinton warns: AI poses 10–20% risk to humanity

Geoffrey Hinton, known as the "Godfather of AI," warns that artificial intelligence could replace humanity. He has estimated the risk involved.

Geoffrey Hinton
Geoffrey Hinton
Images source: © Getty Images | Cole Burston/
Anna Wajs-Wiejacka

Key information

  • Geoffrey Hinton, a renowned figure in artificial intelligence research, warns about the dangers associated with AI.
  • He estimates that AI could potentially replace humanity with a probability of 10–20%.
  • He calls for greater regulation of artificial intelligence development.

Geoffrey Hinton, considered one of the pioneers of artificial intelligence, has expressed his concerns about the future of humanity in the context of AI's development. In 1986, Hinton proposed a method for predicting subsequent words in a sequence, which became the foundation for large AI language models.

Hinton warns that people are often unaware of the potential dangers posed by AI development. He estimates there is a 10 to 20% chance that AI will replace humanity. The expert compared AI development to raising a tiger cub, which could become dangerous as it matures.

The best way to understand it emotionally is we are like somebody who has this really cute tiger cub. Unless you can be very sure that it's not gonna want to kill you when it's grown up, you should worry — said the expert, quoted by ladbible.com.

Need for regulation

Hinton points out the lack of regulation in the field of AI, emphasising that large companies are lobbying for even fewer restrictions. He highlighted that if AI becomes more intelligent than humans, we may lose control.

We've never had to deal with things more intelligent than ourselves before. How many examples do you know of a more intelligent thing being controlled by a less intelligent thing? — asked Hinton, quoted by ladbible.com.

Although Hinton is unsure if AI will indeed replace humanity, his warnings prompt reflection on the future of technology. In the face of the rapid development of AI, it is crucial to make informed decisions regarding its regulation and application. The expert notes that AI development is progressing faster than he expected.

The situation we’re in now is that most of the experts in the field think that sometime, within probably the next 20 years, we’re going to develop AIs that are smarter than people. And that’s a very scary thought. — he added.

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