Trump's potential 'frozen conflict' strategy in ukraine
Donald Trump may consider freezing the conflict in Ukraine, which could impact future borders, according to Prof. Deniz Tansi from Yeditepe University.
Turkey is taking a constructive role in resolving the conflict in Ukraine. Prof. Tansi notes that the Joe Biden administration attempted to turn a defensive war into a proxy war. Trump could implement a 'frozen conflict' approach, which might help stabilise the situation.
According to the expert, Trump's policy is likely to focus more on China than on Russia. This shift could help ease the situation in Ukraine. Turkey maintains balanced relations with both Ukraine and Russia, which is crucial for regional stability.
Challenges in US-Turkey relations
US relations with Turkey are strained due to the US military presence in Greece and Cyprus and the activities of Kurdish forces in Syria. Despite good personal relations between Trump and Erdogan, sanctions have previously been imposed on Turkey.
Trump's policy in the Middle East will focus on the Greece-Cyprus-Israel-Saudi Arabia axis. Syria will be a critical point where Israeli actions could threaten Turkish-American relations. The expert highlights that, despite promises to withdraw troops, the US is continuing to invest in Kurdish forces in Syria.