Ukraine's fate hangs on US decision: Four possible outcomes
According to the British newspaper The Times, there are four possible outcomes to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with the key decision shaping the eventual scenario resting in the hands of the US President.
The newspaper compares Ukraine's anticipation of President Trump's decision to a wounded gladiator awaiting the emperor's gesture of approval or rejection.
Four scenarios for Ukraine
The first scenario is a military defeat for Ukraine. If Russia decides to continue the war and the US withdraws its support, Ukraine could face defeat. Such a development would have serious consequences for global security.
The second scenario is an unfavourable peace. Without negotiations or US support, Ukraine may be forced to agree to an unfavourable settlement, which would mean the division of the country and the establishment of a pro-Russian government in Kyiv.
The third scenario envisages a ceasefire. If this transitional stage leads to a final agreement, it could stabilize the region. However, without a lasting solution, the conflict could flare up again.
The fourth scenario is negotiating an agreement. The US could strengthen Ukraine's negotiation position, allowing for an agreement that ensures the country's sovereignty and security. Key to this would be US support through sanctions and military assistance.
All these scenarios depend on President Trump's decision, which could influence Ukraine's future and its place in the global power structure. "The Times" emphasises that without US support, Ukraine cannot negotiate from a position of strength.
