Geoffrey Hinton warns: AI poses 20% chance of human extinction
Geoffrey Hinton, known as the "Godfather of AI," warns that artificial intelligence could potentially replace humanity. He has estimated this risk.
Key information
- Geoffrey Hinton, a Nobel Prize laureate, warns about the dangers associated with AI.
- He estimates that AI could replace humanity with a probability of 10–20%.
- He calls for greater regulation of artificial intelligence development.
Geoffrey Hinton, considered one of the pioneers of artificial intelligence, has shared his concerns about the future of humanity in relation to AI development. In 1986, Hinton proposed a method for predicting subsequent words in a sequence, which laid the foundation for large AI language models.
Hinton cautions that many people are unaware of the potential dangers posed by AI development. He estimates there is a 10 to 20% chance that AI will replace humanity. He compared AI development to raising a tiger cub, which can become dangerous when it matures.
The best way to understand it emotionally is we are like somebody who has this really cute tiger cub. Unless you can be very sure that it's not gonna want to kill you when it's grown up, you should worry - said the expert, quoted by ladbible.com.
Need for regulation
Hinton points out the lack of regulation in the field of AI, emphasizing that large companies are lobbying for even fewer restrictions. He highlighted that if AI becomes more intelligent than humans, we may lose control.
We've never had to deal with things more intelligent than ourselves before. How many examples do you know of a more intelligent thing being controlled by a less intelligent thing? - asked Hinton, quoted by ladbible.com.
Although Hinton is unsure if AI will indeed replace humanity, his warnings encourage reflection on the future of technology. In light of the rapid development of AI, it is crucial to make informed decisions regarding its regulation and application. The expert notes that AI development is advancing faster than he anticipated.
The situation we’re in now is that most of the experts in the field think that sometime, within probably the next 20 years, we’re going to develop AIs that are smarter than people. And that’s a very scary thought — he added.
