Kaliningrad: A liability for Russia in a potential conflict
General Kaspars Pudans claims that the Kaliningrad Oblast is a weakness for Russia, not an asset as many think. In case of conflict, Russia would first have to defend this enclave by the Baltic Sea.
Key information
- General Kaspars Pudans believes Kaliningrad Oblast is a weakness for Russia.
- In case of an attack on the Suwalki Gap, Russia would have to defend its enclave.
- Latvia plans to strengthen its air defence with the IRIS-T SLM system.
General Kaspars Pudans, who has been the commander of the Latvian armed forces since the beginning of the year, emphasizes that Kaliningrad Oblast does not give Russia an advantage in the region. In case of conflict, Russia would first have to focus on defending this enclave by the Baltic Sea.
Previously, when discussing a Russian attack in the Suwalki Corridor region, it seemed that attacks would come from both sides, and how to deal with it. Clearly not; the Russians will have to defend themselves — said the Latvian general.
Previous analyses suggested that Russia could attack the Suwalki Gap, which could lead to attacks from both sides. However, General Pudans believes that Russia would first have to secure Kaliningrad Oblast, which would weaken its position and capabilities.
Latvia's air defence
Latvia, concerned about the threat from Russian ballistic missiles, plans to strengthen its air defence. General Pudans points out that the best solution would be the American Patriot system, although he admits that the costs of its purchase could consume a significant portion of the national armed forces' budget. Alternatively, by 2026, Latvia is set to receive the German IRIS-T SLM missile system.
General Pudans reminds that NATO state ships are equipped with missiles capable of countering various targets, which provides additional support for the region's defence. Cooperation with allies is crucial for ensuring security in the face of potential threats.
