Russia's strategic aircraft relocation raises new conflict stakes
The analysis of satellite images of several Russian air bases showed significant changes in the deployment of aircraft used to attack Ukraine at the end of November and the beginning of December. A substantial part of the Russian air fleet, including Su-34 bombers, was moved to the Engels-2 airbase. Analysts have suggested reasons for these movements.
An OSINT (open-source intelligence) researcher, using the pseudonym MT Anderson on the X platform (formerly Twitter), highlighted satellite images taken on December 7 at 2:00 PM Eastern Time. On that day, nine frontline bombers Su-34 were stationed at the Engels-2 airbase in the Saratov region, despite such aircraft not being previously associated with this location.
More airplanes at the Engels-2 airbase
The sudden increase in the number of Su-34s (and several other aircraft) at this site suggests a strategic decision by the Russian command, which analysts believe was made in response to emerging threats. The Engels-2 airbase is located over 600 kilometres from the border with Ukraine, placing it out of reach not only of conventional artillery but also a large portion of drones and long-range weaponry.
The decision may relate to the White House's declarations regarding the supply of ATACMS ballistic missiles to Ukraine. These missiles can hit targets up to about 300 kilometres away and are equipped with precise guidance systems combining satellite and inertial navigation.
Aircraft frequently used against Ukrainians
The Su-34 is significant in the context of the ongoing war in Ukraine. It is a tactical bomber widely used during the ongoing conflict. The Russians use the Su-34, among other things, for carrying and dropping KABs (gliding bombs).
The standard armament of the Su-34 includes a GSz-30-1 30 mm aircraft cannon. Additional missiles (e.g., S8, Kh-25, or Raduga Kh-59) or bombs are carried on 12 pylons. The aircraft can carry up to 8,000 kilograms of weaponry. The Su-34 is capable of reaching speeds of about 1,900 kilometres per hour and operating at altitudes of about 16,800 metres.
