NewsTrump's pivotal role in shaping Ukraine's fate amid conflict

Trump's pivotal role in shaping Ukraine's fate amid conflict

The British newspaper The Times outlines four potential outcomes for the Russia-Ukraine war, emphasizing that the US president has the decisive choice regarding the path forward.

Donald Trump / Władimir Putin
Donald Trump / Władimir Putin
Images source: © East News, Getty Images
Tomasz Waleński

The newspaper likens Ukraine's anticipation of President Trump's decision to a wounded gladiator awaiting the emperor's decisive gesture.

Four scenarios for Ukraine

The first scenario is a military defeat for Ukraine. If Russia decides to continue the war and the US withdraws its support, Ukraine could be defeated. Such a development would have serious consequences for global security.

The second scenario is an unfavourable peace. Without negotiations or US support, Ukraine may be forced to agree to an unfavourable settlement, which would mean the division of the country and the establishment of a pro-Russian government in Kyiv.

The third scenario envisages a ceasefire. If this transitional stage leads to a final agreement, it could stabilize the region. However, without a lasting solution, the conflict could flare up again.

The fourth scenario is negotiating an agreement. The US could strengthen Ukraine's negotiation position, allowing for an agreement that ensures the country's sovereignty and security. Key to this would be US support through sanctions and military assistance.

All these scenarios depend on President Trump's decision, which could influence Ukraine's future and its place in the global power structure. "The Times" emphasizes that Ukraine has no chance of negotiating from a position of strength without US support.

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