Cardinal Parolin rises as favourite for papal succession
Who will become the new pope after Francis's death? This question is being asked by people of faith worldwide. According to bookmakers, the leading candidate to succeed Pope Francis is Cardinal Pietro Parolin.
Pope Francis died on 21st April 2025, at the age of 88. A few days ago, we reported that the leading candidate to succeed the pope was Luis Antonio Tagle from the Philippines. Right behind him was Pietro Parolin from Italy.
As reported by the Italian newspaper "La Repubblica," the Italian cardinal, who currently serves as the Secretary of State of the Holy See, is now regarded by bookmakers as the main favourite to become the next pope after Francis.
The new pope according to bookmakers
Parolin, who has served as the Secretary of State since 2013, has gained recognition for his diplomatic skills and experience in managing the Church. His candidacy is seen as a continuation of the current pope's policies, which may attract supporters of stability in the Vatican.
Bookmakers note an increase in bets in his favour, which may suggest that he is being seriously considered as a successor.
The British bookmaker William Hill offers odds of 2.50 for Parolin's selection. Currently, Antonio Tagle from the Philippines is in second place (odds 3.00). Matteo Zuppi from Italy rounds out the top three (7.00), according to the newspaper.
In France, the topic of the future pope even made it to the Tech&Co programme broadcast by BFM TV. The hosts asked ChatGPT to indicate a potential successor to Pope Francis.
In line with British bookmakers, artificial intelligence also favours Parolin, who has a 27.6% chance of becoming the next pope.
How is the pope elected?
The election of a new pope is decided at a conclave, attended by cardinals (who have not reached the age of 80 on the day of the pope's death or resignation).
Each cardinal votes on a ballot, writing down the name of the candidate. To become pope, a candidate must receive at least two-thirds of the votes. If the required majority is not achieved after three days of voting, there is a one-day pause for prayer and reflection, after which voting continues.
After each vote, the ballots are burned in a special stove in the Sistine Chapel, from which smoke rises (black - no pope elected, white - pope elected).
