Kamala Harris gains ground over Donald Trump in Fox News poll

The latest polls appear optimistic for the Democratic candidate. According to a Fox News survey, Kamala Harris leads with a two-percentage-point advantage.

Vice President Kamala Harris has surpassed former President Donald Trump in the latest poll commissioned by Fox News. Analysts note that more and more voters see Harris as the candidate who will support the middle class. Latino voters and independents are also leaning towards the Democratic candidate.

This is the first time Harris has reached 50 per cent support, and the voting result is identical among both registered and likely voters. Forty-eight per cent of respondents declare they will vote for Donald Trump, and only two per cent are undecided.

"Of course, presidential elections are decided by electoral votes from the states, not national vote totals. Hillary Clinton had a 2-point popular vote margin over Trump in 2016 but lost the Electoral College 304-227," Fox News reminds.

Fox News emphasises that many events since the August poll may have affected voters' opinions. The Democratic National Convention took place, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. withdrew from the race and endorsed Trump, and former Vice President Dick Cheney and former Congresswoman Liz Cheney endorsed Harris. At the beginning of September, the candidates faced off in a debate, which polls indicate was won by the Democratic candidate.

The network points out that the most significant change since last month is that independent voters and those of Latino descent are leaning towards Harris. Latinos previously favoured Trump with 6 per cent support in August, but now 12 per cent of them choose the current Vice President. Fox News notes that estimates among small subgroups are variable and shouldn't be considered inevitable.